
Many of us experience coincidences that feel meaningful, even if we don’t see how they could be anything other than chance. Maybe you’re thinking about calling a friend you haven’t talked to in years, and then your phone rings and it’s them. Or maybe you’ve been thinking about changing careers, and then out of the blue you get offered a job that is exactly what you were imagining.
Coincidences like this often feel like “signs.” And when we’re in the midst of making a difficult life decision, we can find ourselves looking to these events for guidance. But how good is the guidance they provide? And are some ways of paying attention to coincidences better than others?
The Perfect Job
Let me start with a concrete example. Fourteen years ago, I decided to leave my career as an academic. When my postdoctoral fellowship came to a close, I didn’t apply for any other positions. A few months later, though, I started wondering if I had made the right choice. The deadline for applying for tenure-track jobs had already passed, but I decided to look through the ads anyway, figuring that if none of the jobs advertised were enticing, that would be an excellent confirmation of my choice.
As it happened, I saw the perfect job! It was at a university in my home state, in the area that most appealed to me, and they wanted someone with precisely my specialization. What was more, the application deadline for this job had been unusually extended and was still a month away! It seemed like a clear sign I should apply.
So I updated my resume and asked my references for new letters. Then I needed to get my application to my alma mater, New York University, so they could mail my packet to the selection committee. That’s when I realized I had already — coincidentally — planned a trip to New York City the very weekend I needed to deliver the application. Another sign, right?
Except that, when I arrived in New York, I kept putting off delivering my application. In fact, I found myself staying away from NYU entirely. I couldn’t even bring myself to enter the neighborhood.

The morning of my last full day in the city, I was eating breakfast downtown when I looked out the window at an office building across the street. I could see people sitting in their offices, working away at their computers, and it made me think of the life I was signing up for in applying for this academic job. It actually made me sick to my stomach to think about once again sitting in an office all day long.
That’s when I decided that, no matter what the “signs” from the universe might be, I was not going to apply for that job. I never delivered my packet to NYU, and 14 years later I have not for a single moment regretted that decision.
Are Coincidences All Just Chance?
Should we conclude, then, that coincidences are all just chance? That none of them provide helpful guidance?
The answer is not so simple.
Like many people, I’ve also had experiences in which coincidences pointed me in fruitful directions and provided me improbably perfect opportunities that did feel right to my gut. Years after the incident described above, I was ready for another career change. I had pinpointed one particular month as the right time to make this transition, but I had no idea what my new source of income would be. As it happened, that very month a stranger wrote to me out of the blue offering me exactly the financial support I needed to start on my new path.
Experiences like this led me to spend the past decade and a half carefully studying the phenomenon of coincidences, investigating them from the perspective of probability theory as well as with regard to their psychological causes and effects (Rawlette, 2019a, 2019b). This study has led me to believe that there is something more than chance at work in many of these events — that our world does have more subtle organizing principles than those that are so far understood by the physical sciences, and that these organizing principles are linked to our deepest needs and desires.
But while the evidence as a whole suggests that some coincidences are more than just happenstance, it isn’t easy to figure out what forces are at work in any particular case. The good news is that we don’t have to settle the question of where coincidences come from before figuring out how best to respond to them.
Three Principles for Interpreting Coincidences
The following are three principles I’ve developed for using coincidences as guidance, and they’re equally helpful whether a coincidence is a mere product of chance or something more profound.
- Never trust “signs” over your gut. If something feels wrong, don’t do it, no matter how much coincidences seem to be pointing in that direction. Recognize that you are always the ultimate authority in your own life.
- Use coincidences as tools for tuning in to your intuition. As clinical psychologist Kirby Surprise points out in his book Synchronicity (2012), coincidences often reflect back to us our own thoughts and feelings. This means that we shouldn’t automatically interpret them as divine signs but rather use them as opportunities to more clearly understand what we’re thinking and feeling. What emotions does a particular coincidence provoke in you? Are you surprised by your reaction to it? Is it possible you’ve been pushing aside some thoughts and feelings you need to acknowledge? Coincidences can bring to the fore uncomfortable feelings that are actually giving you valuable information about aspects of your life that aren’t serving you well and need to be changed.
- Explore the tools of dream interpretation. Many of the techniques developed for understanding dreams are relevant to coincidences, too. If your coincidence had happened in a dream, how would you interpret its significance? A great book about the nuances of dream interpretation is Jeremy Taylor’s Dream Work (1983), and it’s also very useful in exploring the multiple meanings of coincidences.
Ultimately, it’s important to realize that, whether coincidences are issuing from some divine source or are just a product of our own selective attention, they have the potential to be incredibly useful, but only if we employ them in better understanding ourselves. Coincidences won’t solve your problems or make your decisions for you, but they can give you hints about how to do those things yourself.
When I look back now on the coincidences that offered me the “perfect” academic job, I realize that they actually turned out to be helpful in an unexpected way. Sometimes it takes events perfectly aligning in a certain direction for you to realize how much you don’t want to take that route. Those coincidences helped me, not by steering me back to academia, but by removing any remaining doubts I had about leaving. And they taught me that the ultimate confirmation of any decision comes from within.
This post was originally published on PsychologyToday.com on July 9, 2024.
References
Rawlette, S. H. (2019a). Coincidence or psi? The epistemic import of spontaneous cases of purported psi identified post-verification. Journal of Scientific Exploration 33(1): 9–42.
Rawlette, S. H. (2019b). The Source and Significance of Coincidences: A Hard Look at the Astonishing Evidence.
Surprise, K. (2012). Synchronicity: The Art of Coincidence, Choice, and Unlocking Your Mind. Pompton Plains, NJ: New Page Books.
Taylor, J. (1983). Dream Work: Techniques for Discovering the Creative Power in Dreams. Ramsey, NJ: Paulist Press.

8 responses to “Do Coincidences Give Good Guidance?”
How nice to wake up to your email.
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Thanks for reading!
This is interesting. Coincidences like this happen all the time with me. Recently, for example, the name “Beck” kept showing up everywhere I looked. Does this mean something? I wondered. Finally I decided it meant nothing whatsoever. Perhaps coincidences have meaning because we imbue them with meaning similar to the way we unconsciously project ourselves onto other people, seeing our own faults in others.
A second thought comes to mind regarding the super-determinism put forth by some physicists as a way of bringing quantum theory together with relativity. (This rubs me the wrong way, by the way.) Do we really have a choice in anything? To paraphrase one of the physicists who is strongly promoting this idea: super-determinism is real; you can CHOOSE not to believe it but it is still true.
(Sorry for the long ramble!)
J.S. Vilbert
I do think there are coincidences in our lives, like your repeated sighting of “Beck,” that aren’t significant. And I’ve learned that, if a coincidence IS carrying an important message, it will generally recur in more and more obvious ways until I understand. So I don’t worry too much about puzzling out the meaning of every little thing that happens to me. I generally wait to see whether the experiences intensify, and most just fade away.
Thanks for this thoughtful exploration, Sharon. Interestingly, just as I finished reading it and noting down the various book titles, my phone rang. It was a friend and former colleague with a book recommendation — Sebastian Junger’s ‘In my Time of Dying.’ Something close to the kind of synchronicity you are looking into here?
Sounds like the universe heard your need for some new reading material! 🙂
Dear Sharon,
Heard you a few times on different podcasts and ran across your Archives of the Impossible lecture this evening. Really appreciate your perspective on all of this and then found your blog. I appreciate your perspective on synchronicities. They are just indicators. Really love the principals above, with an emphasis on paying attention to your own gut instinct and working to build your own intuition. Just wished to pass on a thanks for this article, and for all you do!
All the best,
John
Thank you very much, John!